To face the Russian threat, Europeans need to spend together – not side by side

  • Felix Arteaga

    Felix Arteaga

    Senior Analyst, The Elcano Royal Institute

  • Renaud Bellais

    Renaud Bellais

    University Grenoble-Alpes

  • Daniel Fiott

    Daniel Fiott

    Member of the Scientific Committee, ARES Group

  • Sylvie Matelly

    Sylvie Matelly

    Former Deputy Director of IRIS

  • Jean-Pierre Maulny

    Jean-Pierre Maulny

    Deputy Director

  • Alessandro Marrone

    Alessandro Marrone

    Head of Defence Programme, IAI

  • Margarita Šešelgytė

    Margarita Šešelgytė

    Director, The Institute of International Relations and Political Science, Vilnius University

  • Trevor Taylor

    Trevor Taylor

    Professorial Research Fellow, RUSI

  • Dick Zandee

    Dick Zandee

    Member of the Scientific Committee, ARES Group

War has returned to Europe. Vladimir Putin’s invasions of Ukraine have forced Europeans to
acknowledge both that war is no longer a thing of the 20th century, and that the 21st century
does not let it happen only to other people.

Spurred on by public opinion, the continent’s leaders have reacted in turn by pledging to redress their comparative military weakness. Germany has announced a €100 billion fund dedicated to defence acquisitions and promised to make good on its commitment to spend
2% of its gross domestic product (GDP) on defence.

Since 21 February, Belgium, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, the Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Romania, Sweden, Spain and Italy have announced plans to raise defence spending to at least 2% of their GDP.

After decades of chronic under-investment, which Russia’s previous attack on Ukraine in 2014 had started reversing, Europeans appear to have recognised that credible means of guaranteeing the security of their own citizens are a necessary precondition for protecting both Europe and the transatlantic relationship.

Counterintuitively, however, this sudden increase in defence budgets may not reinforce Europe’s collective ability to respond to military aggression. This is because Europeans in both the EU and NATO cannot be content with spending more on their militaries – they must also learn to spend much better.

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