Change and Continuity in the 2024 Election

It is tempting to see Biden’s decision as turning American politics upside down, particularly as Harris then made a brilliant choice for vice president and had what by any measure was an extremely successful convention. However, the central paradox of American politics today is that despite the excitement and enthusiasm around Kamala Harris, who is doing better in the polls than Biden was, the election remains extremely close, and very few voters have changed their minds despite the enormity of recent events. This is a reminder of the enduring popularity of Trump and the fascist movement he leads.